Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 394.557732 447.357633 505.677053 575.053689 655.570030 746.349063 856.838149
2026-02-01 321.785544 392.959065 478.574584 589.916952 732.004982 908.750621 1147.574284
2026-02-08 275.192790 352.862820 451.735174 588.312589 774.404297 1022.484919 1383.948085
2026-02-15 240.818644 320.899204 427.528214 582.154276 804.425783 1118.269173 1605.637982
2026-02-22 217.927856 300.165181 414.008712 586.270317 845.923585 1231.968769 1867.337509
2026-03-01 195.714470 277.221126 393.847226 576.887347 864.390813 1311.672831 2086.961699
2026-03-08 178.709074 259.613503 378.903859 572.494561 888.370725 1401.055670 2334.346532
2026-03-15 160.150626 237.671614 354.917798 550.709108 880.833064 1436.759034 2493.388727
2026-03-22 153.181678 232.618947 356.116160 568.876494 940.791469 1593.242413 2894.896355
2026-03-29 147.935015 229.639413 360.057172 591.610513 1010.860337 1776.556950 3379.673719
2026-04-05 139.085163 219.976326 352.040224 592.674324 1041.858551 1891.644308 3748.504561
2026-04-12 128.726462 206.916435 337.095636 579.733067 1044.981322 1953.108014 4014.950828
2026-04-19 119.418837 195.069086 323.503466 568.390819 1050.848065 2022.977732 4318.690210
2026-04-26 115.098073 191.443266 323.943661 583.183580 1109.975472 2211.026750 4933.074714
2026-05-03 108.749475 183.713882 316.308454 581.593511 1135.425375 2330.880164 5409.177460
2026-05-10 102.377302 175.433193 306.928949 575.516089 1150.532981 2429.821733 5853.725401
2026-05-17 97.913667 170.265269 302.862585 579.578295 1187.771536 2584.600719 6479.703023
2026-05-24 92.169303 162.300329 292.830061 570.317925 1194.257921 2667.594584 6927.357276
2026-05-31 87.487441 155.999018 285.503142 565.982436 1211.343995 2778.954793 7482.892310
2026-06-07 81.248414 146.313617 270.817135 544.480183 1185.837396 2779.474273 7707.555747
2026-06-14 79.738357 145.659988 274.057165 562.411513 1256.612355 3040.160870 8807.723916
2026-06-21 78.727593 145.900006 279.098881 584.848589 1341.461801 3353.542377 10170.936771
2026-06-28 75.676927 141.856399 274.968091 585.898463 1372.525712 3523.600100 11095.438987